Will Ginderske Appointment Make A Difference?

I doubt it. I doubt it seriously. I'll pretend you care about my opinion and explain why I don't think that Joe Moore's appointment of Jim Ginderske to 49th Ward Zoning and Land Use Advisory Committee will make any real difference in the outcome of the run-off election on Tuesday, April 17. Here are ten reasons why Joe Moore will probably win on April 17: 1) Joe Moore will probably win regardless of whatever small effect this will have on voters. (I'm not saying I want this, but the reality is that incumbents always have the greater advantage, even in run-offs); Ginderske's former supporters are generally well educated and will not - repeat, NOT - be significantly influenced by Jim Ginderske's actions. Rather, they will make up their own minds, and a number of them are already working actively on Gordon's campaign; 2) Not all of the 50.67 percent of the non-Moore vote that was split by Adams, Ginderske and Gordon will vote for Gordon. To assume that all of those voters will vote against Joe Moore is foolish. This is statistical probability, so much so that you would probably make a lot of money if you bet this way; 3) Over 90 percent of those who voted for Moore will vote for him again; 4) Don Gordon does not have the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the local political Machine behind him, whereas Joe Moore does; 5) Don Gordon has far less money in his war chest than Joe Moore has in his; 6) Chicago Cubs play the San Diego Padres at Wrigley Field on Tuesday, April 17, 2007 at 1:20 P.M. This will distract a number of voters from the election. Don't laugh, I'm serious. 7) Chicago White Sox play the Texas Rangers on Tuesday, April 17 at 07:11 P.M. at U.S. Cellular Field. This will distract a number of voters from the election. Don't laugh, I'm serious. 8) Joe Moore has proven that he is not above employing unethical campaign methods; 9) Joe Moore still has great name recognition than Don Gordon; Don't laugh, I'm serious. 10) Some voters will be bored or burned out by the election process, or will have forgotten about local politics because they are distracted by national politics. Don't laugh, I'm serious